A goodness-of-fit test is used to determine if data from a sample are consistent with a hypothesized distribution
The data are from a sample of 580 newspaper readers that indicated (1) which newspaper they read most frequently (USA today or Wall Street Journal) and (2) their level of income (Low income vs. High income). The data has three variables: A respondent identifier (id), respondent income (High or Low), and the primary newspaper the respondent reads (USA today or Wall Street Journal).
The data were collected to examine if there is a relationship between income level and choice of newspaper. To ensure the results are generalizable it is important that sample is representative of the population of interest. It is known that in this population the relative share of US today readers is higher than the share of Wall Street Journal readers. The shares should be 55% and 45% respectively. We can use a goodness-of-fit test to examine the following null and alternative hypotheses:
If we cannot reject the null hypothesis based on the available sample
there is a “good fit” between the observed data and the assumed
population shares or probabilities. In Radiant (Basics > Tables
> Goodness of fit) choose Newspaper as the categorical variable.
If we leave the
Probabilities input field empty (or enter
1/2) we would be testing if the shares are equal. However, to test H0
and Ha we need to enter
0.45 and 0.55 and then press
Enter. First, compare the observed and expected
frequencies. The expected frequencies are calculated assuming H0 is true
(i.e., no deviation from the stated shares) as total \(\times\) \(p\), where \(p\) is the share (or probability) assumed
for a cell.
The (Pearson) chi-squared test evaluates if we can reject the
null-hypothesis that the observed and expected values are the same. It
does so by comparing the observed frequencies (i.e., what we actually
see in the data) to the expected frequencies (i.e., what we would expect
to see if the distribution of shares is as we assumed). If there are big
differences between the table of expected and observed frequencies the
chi-square value will be large. The chi-square value for each
cell is calculated as
(o - e)^2 / e, where
is the observed frequency in a cell and
e is the expected
frequency in that cell if the null hypothesis holds. These values can be
shown by clicking the
Chi-squared check box. The overall
chi-square value is obtained by summing across all cells, i.e., it is
the sum of the values shown in the Contribution to chi-square
In order to determine if the chi-square statistic can be considered large we first determine the degrees of freedom (df = # cells - 1). In a table with two cells we have df = (2-1) = 1. The output in the Summary tab shows the value of the chi-square statistic, the df, and the p.value associated with the test. We also see the contribution from each cells to the overall chi-square statistic.
Remember to check the expected values: All expected frequencies are larger than 5 so the p.value for the chi-square statistic is unlikely to be biased (see also the technical note below). As usual we reject the null-hypothesis when the p.value is smaller 0.05. Since our p.value is very large (> .8) we cannot reject the null-hypothesis (i.e., the distribution of shares in the observed data is consistent with those we assumed).
We can use the provided p.value associated with the Chi-squared value of 0.028 to evaluate the null hypothesis. However, we can also calculate the critical Chi-squared value using the probability calculator. As we can see from the output below the critical value is 3.841 if we choose a 95% confidence level. Because the calculated Chi-square value is smaller than the critical value (0.028 < 3.841) we cannot reject null hypothesis stated above.
We can also use the probability calculator to determine the p.value
associated with the calculated Chi-square value. Consistent with the
output from the Summary tab this
In addition to the numerical output provided in the Summary tab we can evaluate the hypothesis visually in the Plot.
Add code to
> Rmd to (re)create the analysis by clicking the
icon on the bottom
left of your screen or by pressing
ALT-enter on your
If a plot was created it can be customized using
plot(result, check = "observed", custom = TRUE) + labs(y = "Percentage")).
> Visualize for details.
When one or more expected values are small (e.g., 5 or less) the p.value for the Chi-squared test is calculated using simulation methods. If some cells have an expected count below 1 it may be necessary to combine cells/categories.
For an overview of related R-functions used by Radiant to evaluate a discrete probability distribution see Basics > Tables
The key function from the
stats package used in the
goodness tool is